Ecuagenera SC vs Deportivo Colón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuagenera SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CDC
7 - 1
ECS
9%
14%
76%
|
43 | 15 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ECS
1 - 0
CIA
88%
8%
4%
|
43 | 12 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CIA
1 - 1
ECS
7%
13%
81%
|
43 | 9 | 34 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ECS
3 - 1
FIL
46%
24%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FIL
0 - 2
ECS
54%
22%
24%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Deportivo Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CDC
7 - 1
ECS
9%
14%
76%
|
15 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
CDC
1 - 1
MIG
9%
15%
77%
|
13 | 42 | 29 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MIG
2 - 2
CDC
88%
8%
4%
|
12 | 42 | 30 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CDC
1 - 1
CDU
8%
15%
77%
|
9 | 44 | 35 | +3 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CDU
0 - 0
CDC
89%
8%
3%
|
8 | 44 | 36 | +1 |