Ecuador U20 vs Uruguay U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
56%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
ECU
3 - 0
COL
22%
25%
53%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2017 |
ECU
3 - 0
ARG
12%
20%
68%
|
53 | 80 | 27 | +3 |
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
ECU
2 - 4
VEN
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Jan. 2017 |
ECU
2 - 2
BRA
11%
20%
70%
|
54 | 82 | 28 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
ECU
2 - 1
PAR
17%
21%
62%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Uruguay U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
URU
0 - 3
VEN
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2017 |
URU
3 - 0
COL
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
URU
2 - 1
BRA
27%
25%
49%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2017 |
URU
3 - 0
ARG
28%
25%
47%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
URU
3 - 0
BOL
81%
14%
6%
|
71 | 45 | 26 | 0 |