Ecuador U20 vs Paraguay U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
33.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
BRA
4 - 1
ECU
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
URU
1 - 1
ECU
57%
23%
21%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2019 |
ITA
0 - 1
ECU
38%
25%
37%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2019 |
ECU
0 - 1
KOR
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
USA
1 - 2
ECU
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Paraguay U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 1
URU
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
BRA
5 - 2
PAR
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2022 |
URU
2 - 2
PAR
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
URU
2 - 1
PAR
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 0
CHI
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |