Ecuador U20 vs Paraguay U20 analysis

Ecuador U20 Paraguay U20
58 ELO 65
-6.1% Tilt -3.9%
2319º General ELO ranking 2427º
27º Country ELO ranking 30º
ELO win probability
22.7%
Ecuador U20
23.5%
Draw
53.8%
Paraguay U20

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
Ecuador U20
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
53.8%
Win probability
Paraguay U20
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ecuador U20
-13%
-28%
Paraguay U20

ELO progression

Ecuador U20
Paraguay U20
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ecuador U20
Ecuador U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Nov. 2018
VEN
Venezuela U20
0 - 1
Ecuador U20
ECU
53%
23%
24%
55 59 4 0
14 Nov. 2018
PER
Peru U20
2 - 1
Ecuador U20
ECU
40%
25%
35%
55 55 0 0
07 Sep. 2018
ECU
Ecuador U20
1 - 3
Peru U20
PER
46%
25%
30%
56 54 2 -1
05 Sep. 2018
ECU
Ecuador U20
1 - 0
Peru U20
PER
42%
25%
33%
56 54 2 0
23 Mar. 2018
PER
Peru U20
1 - 1
Ecuador U20
ECU
38%
25%
37%
56 54 2 0

Matches

Paraguay U20
Paraguay U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jun. 2018
URU
Uruguay U20
4 - 1
Paraguay U20
PAR
50%
24%
27%
66 70 4 0
27 Jan. 2017
ECU
Ecuador U20
2 - 1
Paraguay U20
PAR
17%
21%
62%
66 52 14 0
24 Jan. 2017
PAR
Paraguay U20
2 - 1
Chile U20
CHI
42%
25%
33%
66 66 0 0
22 Jan. 2017
BRA
Brazil U20
3 - 2
Paraguay U20
PAR
68%
19%
13%
66 82 16 0
18 Jan. 2017
COL
Colombia U20
1 - 1
Paraguay U20
PAR
50%
23%
27%
66 69 3 0
X