Ecuador U20 vs Paraguay U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
61.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ECU
1 - 1
CHL
17%
22%
61%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
ECU
4 - 3
COL
16%
23%
61%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
ECU
0 - 1
BRA
9%
19%
72%
|
50 | 82 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
ECU
0 - 2
CHL
16%
21%
63%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
ECU
0 - 1
CHL
17%
21%
62%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2017 |
PRY
2 - 1
CHL
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
BRA
3 - 2
PRY
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
COL
1 - 1
PRY
50%
23%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
PRY
1 - 5
VEN
67%
21%
13%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
PRY
0 - 1
COL
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |