Ecuador U20 vs Paraguay U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
69.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
COL
1 - 1
ECU
81%
13%
6%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
ECU
0 - 3
CHI
26%
23%
52%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2010 |
ARG
3 - 1
ECU
83%
12%
5%
|
52 | 82 | 30 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2010 |
ECU
3 - 0
BOL
56%
22%
22%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2010 |
UZB
0 - 1
ECU
42%
24%
33%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Paraguay U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2011 |
BOL
0 - 1
PAR
8%
17%
75%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
BRA
4 - 2
PAR
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2010 |
BOL
1 - 2
PAR
16%
20%
64%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2010 |
ARG
1 - 4
PAR
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
PAR
3 - 0
CHI
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |