Ecuador U20 vs Mexico U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
32%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2019 |
ECU
0 - 1
ITA
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2019 |
JPN
1 - 1
ECU
36%
25%
39%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2019 |
ECU
0 - 1
KOR
44%
23%
33%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
VEN
0 - 3
ECU
40%
25%
34%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
ECU
0 - 0
BRA
18%
23%
59%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Mexico U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2019 |
MEX
0 - 3
JPN
57%
22%
21%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2019 |
MEX
1 - 2
ITA
57%
22%
21%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2019 |
MEX
1 - 3
NZL
78%
14%
8%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2019 |
MEX
1 - 3
COL
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
KSA
1 - 1
MEX
11%
15%
74%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |