Ecuador U20 vs Italy U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
28.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2019 |
JAP
1 - 1
ECU
36%
25%
39%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2019 |
ECU
0 - 1
KOR
44%
23%
33%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
VEN
0 - 3
ECU
40%
25%
34%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
ECU
0 - 0
BRA
18%
23%
59%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2019 |
ECU
1 - 0
COL
31%
27%
43%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Italy U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2019 |
MEX
1 - 2
ITA
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2019 |
CHE
3 - 0
ITA
23%
23%
55%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
ITA
0 - 1
CZE
44%
22%
34%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
NLD
3 - 2
ITA
31%
22%
47%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
ITA
3 - 3
DEU
33%
25%
42%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |