Ecuador U20 vs South Korea U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
49.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2017 |
ECU
2 - 1
HND
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
ZAM
2 - 0
ECU
28%
23%
49%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ECU
1 - 2
URU
20%
24%
56%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
ECU
3 - 0
COL
22%
25%
53%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2017 |
ECU
3 - 0
ARG
12%
20%
68%
|
52 | 79 | 27 | +3 |
Matches
South Korea U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2017 |
ZAM
1 - 4
KOR
18%
20%
63%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
KOR
3 - 2
HND
52%
23%
25%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
POR
1 - 1
KOR
59%
23%
19%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
IRQ
3 - 3
KOR
23%
24%
54%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
COL
1 - 1
KOR
60%
21%
19%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |