Ecuador U20 vs Colombia U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
52.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2017 |
ECU
3 - 0
ARG
12%
20%
68%
|
52 | 79 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
ECU
2 - 4
VEN
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Jan. 2017 |
ECU
2 - 2
BRA
11%
20%
70%
|
53 | 82 | 29 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
ECU
2 - 1
PRY
17%
21%
62%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ECU
1 - 1
CHL
17%
22%
61%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Colombia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2017 |
URY
3 - 0
COL
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
COL
1 - 2
ARG
31%
25%
44%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2017 |
COL
1 - 1
VEN
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2017 |
COL
1 - 0
CHL
53%
23%
25%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
COL
1 - 0
BRA
24%
24%
53%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | +1 |