Ecuador U20 vs Bolivia U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
ECU
0 - 1
BRA
6%
16%
78%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
ECU
1 - 0
PAR
12%
19%
69%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
COL
1 - 1
ECU
81%
13%
6%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
ECU
0 - 3
CHI
26%
23%
52%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2010 |
ARG
3 - 1
ECU
83%
12%
5%
|
52 | 82 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Bolivia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
COL
2 - 1
BOL
85%
11%
4%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 1
BOL
90%
8%
2%
|
46 | 84 | 38 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2011 |
BOL
0 - 1
PAR
8%
17%
75%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
ARG
1 - 0
BOL
86%
11%
3%
|
47 | 82 | 35 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2010 |
ECU
3 - 0
BOL
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |