Ecuador U20 vs Argentina U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
66.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ECU
0 - 1
QAT
72%
18%
11%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 0
ECU
83%
13%
5%
|
53 | 85 | 32 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
ECU
2 - 1
CHN
25%
22%
53%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2014 |
ECU
2 - 2
PER
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2014 |
PER
3 - 0
ECU
41%
25%
33%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Argentina U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
ARG
3 - 0
BGR
80%
15%
5%
|
81 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
ARG
3 - 1
KSA
79%
15%
6%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
CAN
0 - 2
ARG
12%
20%
68%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2013 |
ARG
1 - 0
BLR
87%
11%
2%
|
81 | 12 | 69 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
ARG
3 - 2
COL
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |