Eckernförder SV vs VfB Lübeck II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
14.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
6º
5º
12
13º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 72 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 68 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 65 |
3º
|
50.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 57 |
4º
|
84% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 45 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 44 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 42 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 41 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 38 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 38 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 37 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 32 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 30 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 29 |
14º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
12 | 23 |
15º
|
67% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 12 |
16º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 8.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 91.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eckernförder SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
HEI
2 - 1
ECK
63%
19%
18%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ECK
0 - 1
OLD
62%
19%
19%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
SVE
1 - 2
ECK
23%
20%
57%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ECK
2 - 0
FLE
45%
22%
33%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
HOH
1 - 1
ECK
28%
21%
52%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
VFR
1 - 1
LUB
51%
21%
28%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
PRR
1 - 0
LUB
49%
21%
30%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
LUB
2 - 1
DOR
67%
17%
16%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
EUT
2 - 1
LUB
50%
21%
29%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
LUB
0 - 0
EIC
9%
18%
74%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | +1 |