Tercera Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Écija Balompié vs UD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Écija Balompié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2017 |
ECI
1 - 0
CDU
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
CDU
1 - 0
ECI
31%
27%
42%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
ARC
0 - 2
ECI
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
ECI
3 - 0
SRO
84%
11%
5%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
REC
2 - 1
ECI
23%
24%
53%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
UD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
UDS
3 - 0
TUI
35%
25%
40%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
TUI
1 - 2
UDS
55%
23%
22%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
UDS
2 - 2
UDI
45%
26%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
CSU
3 - 2
UDS
30%
26%
44%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
UDS
1 - 0
UDL
58%
23%
19%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |