Écija Balompié vs Ciudad de Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Écija Balompié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2019 |
CRD
1 - 2
ECI
63%
21%
16%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
ECI
1 - 0
ALG
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
ECI
3 - 1
CDG
79%
14%
7%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
XER
2 - 1
ECI
44%
24%
33%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
ECI
0 - 1
LEB
64%
20%
16%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2019 |
CDL
2 - 2
BAR
30%
25%
45%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2018 |
CAD
1 - 0
CDL
70%
19%
12%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
XER
2 - 0
CDL
44%
24%
32%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CDL
4 - 0
ESP
70%
17%
13%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
CON
0 - 1
CDL
42%
25%
33%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |