Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Écija Balompié vs SCD Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Écija Balompié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2017 |
CDU
1 - 0
ECI
31%
27%
42%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
ARC
0 - 2
ECI
59%
22%
19%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
ECI
3 - 0
SRO
84%
11%
5%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
REC
2 - 1
ECI
23%
24%
53%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ECI
2 - 1
CEU
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2017 |
CDU
1 - 0
ECI
31%
27%
42%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
SOD
0 - 2
CDU
30%
25%
45%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
CDU
2 - 1
TOL
66%
22%
13%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
SNT
1 - 2
CDU
31%
26%
42%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
CDU
4 - 0
LON
57%
26%
17%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |