Écija Balompié vs Arenas de Armilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
15.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Écija Balompié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
TOM
0 - 1
ECI
33%
30%
37%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
ECI
1 - 0
RJA
47%
28%
25%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
MEL
0 - 1
ECI
41%
30%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
AGD
2 - 0
ECI
50%
28%
23%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
ECI
2 - 0
UBC
32%
29%
39%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Arenas de Armilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
ARE
0 - 0
AGD
30%
29%
41%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
UBC
0 - 0
ARE
59%
24%
17%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
ARE
1 - 1
DBN
38%
27%
35%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 0
ARE
72%
17%
11%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
ARE
1 - 1
JER
28%
29%
43%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +1 |