Écija Balompié vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Écija Balompié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
RJA
1 - 0
ECI
42%
29%
29%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
ECI
4 - 3
CAD
20%
25%
55%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ROQ
3 - 0
ECI
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
ECI
1 - 1
SEV
29%
27%
44%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
PUE
0 - 1
ECI
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 0
SRQ
22%
27%
51%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
AGD
4 - 0
ALC
69%
20%
11%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 1
POL
24%
29%
47%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
BET
1 - 2
ALC
56%
25%
20%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 0
EST
28%
28%
44%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |