Echallens vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.2%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.2%
83.2%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.4%
0-4
8.5%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
12.4%
0-5
5%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.8%
0-6
2.4%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.2%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Echallens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
DUD
1 - 2
ECH
24%
22%
54%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
ECH
1 - 2
VEV
74%
15%
11%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
THU
1 - 2
ECH
21%
22%
57%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
NAT
1 - 0
ECH
33%
24%
44%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
ECH
3 - 2
MEY
37%
24%
39%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
FCL
0 - 1
YOB
32%
26%
42%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
GCZ
1 - 1
FCL
35%
26%
40%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2017 |
FCL
5 - 0
FCA
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
THU
2 - 0
FCL
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
FCL
2 - 3
LAU
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |