Echallens vs FC Koniz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
20.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
1º
6º
2º
1
14º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
16 | 65 |
1º
|
45% | |
|
|
4º
|
16 | 59 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
1º
|
19 | 57 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 52 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 51 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 50 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 48 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 45 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 44 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 40 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 39 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 38 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 28 |
13º
|
24% | |
|
|
16º
|
1 | 21 |
14º
|
24% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 20 |
15º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 17 |
16º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
44.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
55.5% | 56% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 44% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Echallens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ECH
0 - 1
VEV
22%
22%
57%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
ECH
4 - 3
LAU
33%
24%
43%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
NAT
4 - 2
ECH
40%
24%
36%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ECH
3 - 3
LAC
64%
18%
18%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ECH
4 - 0
FCC
66%
17%
17%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
FC Koniz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
SOL
1 - 2
FCK
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FCK
4 - 1
EMM
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FCM
1 - 2
FCK
17%
19%
64%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FCK
0 - 2
CON
16%
21%
63%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
THU
0 - 1
FCK
46%
22%
32%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |