XV de Novembro vs Vocem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
18.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Novembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
VOT
2 - 0
ECN
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ECN
0 - 1
SJS
68%
20%
12%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 1
ECN
35%
27%
38%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ECN
0 - 1
UNI
27%
23%
50%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 1
ECN
62%
21%
18%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vocem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
VOC
0 - 0
GRE
16%
23%
61%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
VOC
2 - 2
AME
53%
24%
23%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 0
VOC
44%
26%
30%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
VOC
2 - 1
GDS
28%
25%
47%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
GDS
1 - 0
VOC
49%
26%
25%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |