XV de Novembro vs Taboão da Serra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
20.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Novembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
IND
3 - 0
ECN
48%
24%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
ECN
1 - 1
INT
40%
26%
34%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
TAU
1 - 0
ECN
43%
24%
32%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
ECN
1 - 0
MAR
25%
24%
51%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
OSV
0 - 3
ECN
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Taboão da Serra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
TAB
0 - 1
FLA
7%
14%
78%
|
37 | 77 | 40 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
JUV
4 - 3
TAB
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
TAB
1 - 0
IND
29%
25%
46%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
TAB
1 - 2
ITA
30%
25%
45%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
FRA
2 - 4
TAB
64%
21%
15%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +1 |