XV de Novembro vs CA Joseense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Novembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 1
ECN
35%
27%
38%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ECN
0 - 1
UNI
27%
23%
50%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 1
ECN
62%
21%
18%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
ECN
2 - 0
NAC
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
SJS
0 - 1
ECN
25%
25%
50%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
CA Joseense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
SJS
0 - 1
UNI
15%
19%
66%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 1
SJS
63%
21%
17%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
SJS
0 - 1
NAC
29%
24%
47%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 2
SJS
76%
16%
9%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
SJS
0 - 1
ECN
25%
25%
50%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |