XV de Novembro vs Rio Branco SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Novembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
BER
0 - 1
ECN
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
UNI
0 - 0
ECN
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ECN
0 - 1
UNI
34%
25%
41%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 0
ECN
51%
24%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MIR
0 - 2
ECN
17%
20%
63%
|
47 | 13 | 34 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
RIO
1 - 1
RIO
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
MON
1 - 1
RIO
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
RIO
3 - 1
BER
26%
26%
48%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +3 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
RIO
0 - 0
SAO
18%
25%
58%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
RBB
3 - 1
RIO
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |