XV de Novembro vs Penapolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
37.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Novembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ECN
0 - 1
BEB
73%
17%
11%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
BAT
4 - 1
ECN
37%
24%
39%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
OSV
2 - 2
ECN
33%
25%
42%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ECN
2 - 1
PEN
40%
24%
36%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
ECN
2 - 1
FRA
59%
22%
20%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 1
BAT
60%
21%
19%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
LEM
1 - 2
PEN
16%
22%
62%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
PEN
4 - 0
BEB
76%
16%
9%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ECN
2 - 1
PEN
40%
24%
36%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
PEN
3 - 0
CAT
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |