XV de Novembro vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
51.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+82%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Novembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
OSV
0 - 3
ECN
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
0 - 1
ECN
82%
12%
7%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ECN
0 - 0
SAO
37%
25%
38%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
ECN
2 - 1
SER
37%
25%
38%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BEB
1 - 2
ECN
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
TAU
1 - 0
MAR
22%
22%
56%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 2
SAO
65%
19%
16%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
JUV
65%
20%
16%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 0
MAR
77%
16%
7%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 2
OSV
78%
14%
8%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |