XV de Novembro vs Lemense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
8.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Novembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
BEB
1 - 1
ECN
23%
23%
54%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ECN
1 - 2
BAT
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
ECN
2 - 1
OSV
59%
22%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 0
ECN
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
FRA
1 - 3
ECN
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lemense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
LEM
2 - 2
CAT
30%
24%
46%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
PEN
3 - 0
LEM
78%
14%
8%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
LEM
1 - 2
SAO
23%
25%
52%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
BEB
2 - 1
LEM
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
LEM
1 - 0
OSV
19%
23%
58%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | +5 |