XV de Novembro vs Inter de Bebedouro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Novembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
BAT
4 - 1
ECN
37%
24%
39%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
OSV
2 - 2
ECN
33%
25%
42%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ECN
2 - 1
PEN
40%
24%
36%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
ECN
2 - 1
FRA
59%
22%
20%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
CAT
0 - 0
ECN
31%
24%
46%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Inter de Bebedouro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
BEB
2 - 0
CAT
34%
24%
42%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
PEN
4 - 0
BEB
76%
16%
9%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
LEM
1 - 0
BEB
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
BEB
1 - 2
BAT
30%
24%
46%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SAO
3 - 0
BEB
67%
20%
14%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |