XV de Novembro vs Grêmio Osasco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
46.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Novembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
ECN
0 - 3
FRA
37%
25%
38%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
ITA
3 - 1
ECN
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
ECN
1 - 3
FLA
10%
20%
70%
|
42 | 80 | 38 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
ECN
0 - 0
BAT
32%
24%
44%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 0
ECN
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 0
OSV
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 1
GRE
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 1
INT
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
GRE
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
TAU
1 - 4
GRE
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |