XV de Novembro vs Francana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
20%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Novembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
CAT
0 - 0
ECN
31%
24%
46%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
ECN
2 - 2
SAO
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 3
ECN
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ECN
3 - 1
LEM
76%
15%
9%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
BEB
1 - 1
ECN
23%
23%
54%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Francana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
FRA
2 - 2
BAT
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
FRA
0 - 3
PEN
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
LEM
0 - 0
FRA
19%
23%
58%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
FRA
2 - 2
BEB
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
SAO
4 - 1
FRA
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |