EC São José vs Villa Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
10.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 0
ECS
41%
29%
30%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ECS
0 - 1
SCI
19%
27%
55%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SCI
0 - 0
ECS
77%
16%
7%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ECS
1 - 0
NOV
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 5
ECS
26%
26%
48%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 1
POR
39%
24%
37%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 1
VIL
55%
25%
20%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 7
ATM
8%
18%
75%
|
43 | 84 | 41 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
TRI
1 - 1
VIL
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CRZ
3 - 2
VIL
85%
12%
3%
|
43 | 84 | 41 | -1 |