EC São José vs Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
VER
1 - 0
ECS
51%
23%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CAN
2 - 0
ECS
30%
24%
46%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ECS
2 - 1
JUV
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 3
ECS
27%
25%
48%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SCI
3 - 0
ECS
84%
12%
4%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CAN
3 - 1
PEL
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CRU
0 - 1
PEL
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
PEL
1 - 0
GRE
10%
18%
72%
|
48 | 81 | 33 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
CAX
2 - 1
PEL
71%
18%
10%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ECA
1 - 1
PEL
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |