Gaucho 1 Etapas Finales Quarter-finals
Global 0-2
EC São José vs Novo Hamburgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
35.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
JUV
1 - 0
ECS
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ECS
1 - 2
SCI
12%
22%
67%
|
55 | 81 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 3
ECS
25%
25%
50%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2017 |
ECS
2 - 1
BRA
28%
27%
45%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
PAS
0 - 2
ECS
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 0
VER
48%
26%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 1
NOV
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 1
GRE
10%
20%
70%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
YPI
2 - 1
NOV
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CRU
1 - 0
NOV
30%
27%
44%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |