EC São José vs Novo Hamburgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.7%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
36.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
LAJ
1 - 1
ECS
44%
26%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 1
ECS
30%
26%
45%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ECS
0 - 1
YPI
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
AIM
3 - 1
ECS
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ECS
1 - 0
VER
45%
27%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
NOV
2 - 1
SAO
65%
22%
13%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 2
CRU
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
LAJ
2 - 1
NOV
30%
28%
42%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
VER
2 - 0
NOV
32%
27%
41%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 0
PAS
62%
23%
16%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |