EC São José vs Novo Hamburgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
ISM
1 - 3
ECS
32%
25%
43%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
ECS
2 - 0
YPI
51%
23%
26%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
ECS
2 - 1
POR
71%
19%
11%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
ESP
1 - 2
ECS
33%
25%
43%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
ECA
1 - 3
ECS
39%
25%
37%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
NOV
1 - 3
SCI
9%
20%
72%
|
49 | 85 | 36 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
CAX
2 - 0
NOV
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
SLU
2 - 1
NOV
47%
24%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
NOV
1 - 0
PEL
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
NOV
2 - 2
VER
44%
24%
32%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |