EC São José vs Novo Hamburgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 1
ECS
31%
26%
44%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2009 |
JUV
1 - 2
ECS
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
ECA
3 - 3
ECS
35%
26%
40%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
ECS
2 - 3
ESP
61%
22%
18%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
ECS
1 - 3
SCI
6%
16%
78%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
NOV
2 - 0
CAX
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 5
GRE
11%
19%
70%
|
48 | 84 | 36 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 0
NOV
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
SLU
0 - 0
NOV
50%
23%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
NOV
2 - 1
YPI
49%
23%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |