EC São José vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
62.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
14%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 1
ECS
52%
25%
24%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
ECS
0 - 2
NOV
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
SCI
0 - 1
ECS
80%
15%
5%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
ECS
4 - 1
SCI
11%
20%
70%
|
53 | 83 | 30 | +3 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
ECS
0 - 1
JUV
40%
27%
34%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
POR
0 - 0
GRE
36%
27%
36%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 0
GOI
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
PPE
1 - 1
GRE
34%
28%
38%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 1
FLA
49%
26%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 0
VAS
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |