EC São José vs Grêmio B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
13.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
JUV
0 - 1
ECS
7%
13%
80%
|
67 | 40 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
PAS
1 - 1
ECS
10%
19%
71%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ECS
0 - 0
REM
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FFL
1 - 1
ECS
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ECS
3 - 0
SAO
24%
29%
47%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Grêmio B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 1
GRE
10%
16%
74%
|
50 | 16 | 34 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 1
JUV
63%
20%
17%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
YPI
0 - 1
GRE
74%
16%
10%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 0
PAS
52%
23%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
ECS
2 - 1
GRE
73%
16%
11%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | -1 |