EC São José vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
60.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
1 - 2
ECS
14%
18%
68%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 0
ECS
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ECS
2 - 0
AIM
54%
25%
20%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
GRE
2 - 1
ECS
82%
14%
4%
|
57 | 87 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CAX
1 - 1
ECS
31%
26%
44%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
BOA
0 - 2
CHA
14%
22%
64%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 1
CRI
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
CHA
15%
22%
64%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 1
BRU
74%
19%
8%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 1
JUV
80%
15%
5%
|
73 | 43 | 30 | -1 |