EC São José vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
66.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.5%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
ECS
2 - 1
SLU
40%
28%
32%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
ECS
3 - 2
VER
33%
30%
38%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
PEL
1 - 0
ECS
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
ECS
2 - 0
SCI
9%
20%
71%
|
49 | 83 | 34 | +2 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
JUV
0 - 1
ECS
54%
25%
21%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
BRU
2 - 3
CHA
12%
21%
67%
|
77 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
ULC
0 - 0
CHA
27%
26%
48%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 1
HER
83%
14%
3%
|
77 | 46 | 31 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
TUB
3 - 3
CHA
14%
22%
63%
|
77 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
JEC
1 - 2
CHA
16%
23%
61%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |