EC São José vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.5%
31.7%
Draw
0-0
15%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.7%
39%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
YPI
2 - 1
ECS
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
ECS
1 - 0
OES
28%
29%
43%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
FFL
2 - 0
ECS
52%
26%
22%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
ECS
2 - 1
MIR
25%
29%
46%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
PAR
3 - 1
ECS
42%
28%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
BOT
2 - 1
ITU
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
FFL
0 - 0
BOT
45%
29%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
BOT
3 - 1
CRI
49%
28%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 0
BOT
50%
28%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 0
OES
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |