EC São Bernardo vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São Bernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
BER
1 - 1
GRE
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 1
BER
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BER
0 - 0
SER
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
SER
0 - 1
BER
32%
26%
42%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
BER
0 - 1
CAB
63%
20%
17%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
SAO
0 - 2
SER
41%
26%
33%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ITA
1 - 1
SAO
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 3
UNI
29%
25%
47%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CAB
1 - 0
SAO
27%
23%
50%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 0
MAR
19%
23%
57%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +2 |