EC São Bernardo vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São Bernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
DES
0 - 3
BER
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
BER
2 - 0
USA
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MAT
1 - 2
BER
23%
25%
52%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
BER
2 - 0
CAT
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
VOT
1 - 1
BER
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
4 - 1
MAT
56%
23%
22%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 1
VOT
28%
27%
46%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
GRE
3 - 0
SAO
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 2
USA
35%
26%
39%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
CAT
2 - 1
SAO
42%
24%
33%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |