EC São Bernardo vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
36.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São Bernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
BAT
1 - 0
BER
52%
25%
22%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
BER
3 - 1
CAP
19%
22%
59%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
RIO
3 - 2
BER
68%
19%
12%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
BER
0 - 1
VEL
35%
26%
39%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 0
BER
67%
21%
12%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
DES
2 - 2
MON
58%
24%
19%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
MON
0 - 1
BAR
24%
26%
51%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2019 |
SER
1 - 1
MON
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
MAN
69%
20%
12%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 0
MON
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |