EC São Bernardo vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
33.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São Bernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
LEM
0 - 0
BER
23%
23%
54%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
BER
1 - 0
SAO
66%
20%
15%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
DES
0 - 3
BER
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
BER
2 - 0
USA
52%
23%
25%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MAT
1 - 2
BER
23%
25%
52%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 0
MAR
19%
23%
57%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 0
DES
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
SER
65%
21%
15%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
MAT
0 - 6
MAR
15%
22%
63%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
LEM
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | -1 |