EC São Bernardo vs Desportivo Brasil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São Bernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
COM
4 - 2
BER
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
BER
3 - 1
RIO
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
CAP
2 - 2
BER
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
BER
1 - 1
BAR
52%
26%
22%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
NOR
0 - 1
BER
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Desportivo Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
DES
1 - 0
NAC
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
VOT
2 - 1
DES
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
RIO
2 - 2
DES
38%
26%
36%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
DES
1 - 0
BAN
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
CAP
2 - 1
DES
63%
20%
16%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |