Paulista A3 Etapas Finales Semi-finals
Global 6-2
EC São Bernardo vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São Bernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
COM
1 - 3
BER
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
BER
3 - 2
BAT
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
BAT
0 - 3
BER
19%
24%
57%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
CAP
0 - 3
BER
54%
24%
23%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
BER
1 - 0
BAR
57%
24%
20%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
COM
1 - 1
FER
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
COM
1 - 3
BER
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
COM
3 - 1
LIN
59%
24%
18%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
LIN
0 - 1
COM
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
COM
1 - 1
BAT
67%
21%
12%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |