EC São Bernardo vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
31.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São Bernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
BER
27%
26%
47%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
BER
1 - 0
OLI
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
PAU
0 - 3
BER
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
LIN
1 - 1
BER
37%
26%
36%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
BER
0 - 2
NOR
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
COM
2 - 1
PAU
59%
24%
17%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
COM
0 - 1
VEL
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 0
COM
37%
26%
37%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
COM
1 - 1
GRE
65%
22%
13%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
RIO
1 - 0
COM
28%
26%
46%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |