Paulista A3 Fase Final Semi-finals
Global 0-4
EC São Bernardo vs Capivariano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
40.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São Bernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
CAP
1 - 0
BER
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
BER
0 - 0
MAR
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
BER
2 - 1
MAT
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MAT
1 - 0
BER
30%
26%
44%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
BER
53%
25%
22%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
CAP
1 - 0
BER
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
MAT
2 - 2
CAP
20%
23%
57%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 1
CAP
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CAP
3 - 0
MAR
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
CAP
4 - 1
MAT
68%
18%
13%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |