EC São Bernardo vs Capivariano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
40.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São Bernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BER
1 - 3
MAT
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SER
1 - 0
BER
25%
25%
50%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
BER
1 - 2
BAR
65%
20%
14%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
RBB
2 - 3
BER
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
USA
0 - 2
BER
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CAP
1 - 1
BAN
69%
18%
13%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
MAT
1 - 3
CAP
23%
24%
54%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
CAP
1 - 1
RBB
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CAP
0 - 1
SAO
66%
20%
15%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
AUD
0 - 2
CAP
19%
23%
58%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |